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The Beginning of the Worries - Action Forex
Nvidia announced another very strong quarter after the bell. The company surpassed its own revenue forecast by around $2bn (again!) and printed a sales number of $35.1bn. That’s around $5bn more than last quarter’s number and almost the double of the amount earned during the same period a year ago. The company printed a total profit of an eye-watering $19.3bn – that’s also around $2bn more than pencilled in by analysts. And it made a revenue forecast of $37.5bn for the current quarter. That’s $2bn more than the actual revenue – as it has been the case for the past few quarters – but only slightly above the consensus of $37bn.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral again with current retreat. On the upside, break of 156.74 will resume the whole rally from 139.57 towards 161.94 high. On the downside, though, break of 153.27 will resume the correction towards 38.2% retracement of 139.57 to 156.74 at 150.18.
BoJ's Ueda: FX impact on economy and prices taken 'seriously' in policy decisions - Action Forex
At a forum today, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda admitted that the central bank takes exchange rate movements "seriously" when forming its economic and inflation outlook. He also stressed the importance of understanding the factors driving current exchange rate changes and their broader implications.
US Money Markets Now Put Probability of 25 bps Fed Rate Cut in December at Only 50% - Action Forex
US money markets now put the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in December at only 50%. The latest repositioning started last week after Fed Chair Powell said that the economy is not sending any signals that de Fed needs to be in a hurry to lower rates. Boston Fed Collins yesterday suggested that some additional policy easing is needed as policy currently remains at least somewhat restrictive but that the final destination is uncertain. Policy makers should proceed carefully though.
Elliott Wave View: Gold (XAUUSD) Starts Next Leg Higher - Action Forex
Short Term Elliott Wave View in Gold (XAUUSD) suggests that rally to 2790.07 ended wave ((3)). Pullback in wave ((4)) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave A ended at 2724.6 and rally in wave B ended at 2749.9. Wave C lower ended at 2643.1 which completed wave (W) in higher degree. Rally in wave (X) ended at 2710.61. The metal then turned lower in wave (Y) with subdivision as another zigzag. Down from wave (X), wave A ended at 2589.5 and wave B rally ended at 2618.8. Wave C lower ended at 2537.7 which completed wave (Y) of ((4)) in higher degree.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral at this point. Outlook also remains bearish with 0.8446 resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8306 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8259 first, and then 0.8201 key support. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8446 will confirm short term bottoming.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9303 will revive the case that triangle consolidation pattern 0.9305 has already completed. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for retesting 0.9209 low next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9444 resistance holds, in case of another recovery.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Outlook in EUR/AUD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. Further decline is expected with 1.6359 resistance intact. On the downside, break 1.6161 will resume the fall from 1.6598 for retesting 1.5996/6002 key support zone. Nevertheless, break of 1.6359 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound towards 1.6598 resistance instead.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook - Action Forex
GBP/USD is staying in consolidation above 1.2596 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook stays bearish with 1.2842 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.2596 will resume the fall from 1.3433 to 100% projection of 1.3433 to 1.2842 to 1.3047 at 1.2456.
AUD/USD Daily Report - Action Forex
Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.6440 is still extending. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.6687 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 61.8% projection of 0.6941 to 0.6511 from 0.6687 at 0.6421 will resume the fall from 0.6941 to 100% projection at 0.6257 next.
NZD/USD Under Pressure Amidst USD Strength - Action Forex
On the H4 chart of NZD/USD, the market corrected to the 0.5921 level. Today, a decline wave structure is forming at the 0.5858 level, marking the boundaries of the consolidation range. A downward exit from this range could indicate the potential for the wave to extend towards 0.5777. Alternatively, an upward exit may result in another corrective move towards 0.5944 before the price resumes its decline to 0.5777. From a technical standpoint, this bearish outlook for NZD/USD is supported by the MACD indicator, with its signal line below zero and sloping downward.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. As long as 1.3958 resistance turned support holds, consolidations from 1.4104 should be brief. Above 1.4104 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 1.3418 to 1.3958 from 1.3841 at 1.4175. Nevertheless, break of 1.3958 will bring lengthier consolidations, and risk deeper pull back to 1.3841 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3418 to 1.4104 at 1.3842).
USD/CHF Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8916 is extending. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8773 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8916 and sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8899 will pave the way back to 0.9223 key resistance.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0495 is extending. Outlook stays bearish with 1.0760 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 1.0495 will resume the fall from 1.1213 to 1.0447 support and then 1.0404 key fibonacci level next.
ECB’s Villeroy: Wage data backward-looking, advocates agile pragmatism - Action Forex
French ECB Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau, speaking at a conference today, emphasized a cautious and pragmatic stance on monetary policy, downplaying the significance of recent stronger-than-expected wage data.
Euro Soft Awaiting Breakout; Bitcoin Rockets to New Highs - Action Forex
Euro continues to trade on the softer side in an otherwise directionless market. Yet it's holding above its low against Dollar, lacking sufficient momentum for a decisive breakout. Market participants and ECB policymakers are grappling with critical questions regarding the pace at which interest rates should be reduced towards neutral, and whether the terminal rate in this easing cycle might dip below that neutral point. These deliberations are complicated by differing views within the ECB.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook - Action Forex
USD/JPY rebounded after dipping to 153.27 and the break of 155.35 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 156.74 has completed. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Break of 156.74 will resume the whole rally from 139.57 towards 161.94 high. On the downside, though, break of 153.27 will resume the correction towards 38.2% retracement of 139.57 to 156.74 at 150.18.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook - Action Forex
GBP/USD recovers further today but stays well below 1.2842 support turned resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish. On the downside, break of 1.2596 will resume the fall from 1.3433 to 100% projection of 1.3433 to 1.2842 to 1.3047 at 1.2456.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and further decline is expected Break of 1.6161 will resume the fall from 1.6598 for retesting 1.5996/6002 key support zone. Nevertheless, break of 1.6359 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound towards 1.6598 resistance instead.
Sentiment Stabilization Reverses Yen Gains and Halts Gold’s Rebound - Action Forex
Yen fell broadly during Asian session today, reversing all of this week's earlier gains. Market sentiment has calmed somewhat despite the escalation in Russia's war in Ukraine, as there is no clear intensification toward a nuclear conflict. US Treasury yields have stabilized after yesterday's decline, and Gold's rebound has also stalled. Attention now turns to the upcoming UK CPI data.
Australia Westpac leading index hits 0.26%, decisive breakaway from year-long sluggishness - Action Forex
Australia's Westpac Leading Index moved decisively into positive territory in October, rising from -0.20% in September to +0.26%. This marks a significant shift, as the index had been hovering in slight negative territory, between -0.3% and flat, for most of the past year. The October reading is not only the first clear above-trend result since November 2023 (+0.16%) but also the strongest since July 2022 (+0.63%).
EUR/USD Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen above 1.0495. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0760 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 1.0495 will resume the fall from 1.1213 to 1.0447 support and then 1.0404 key fibonacci level next.
Geopolitical Tensions Spike amid Russia-Ukraine Escalation - Action Forex
In Russia-Ukraine, Ukraine hit a military target inside Russia using long-range US-made missiles, marking the first use since restrictions were lifted. As a response, Russia lowered threshold for a nuclear strike. The market reacted to the resurgence of geopolitical tensions, by a decline in European stocks and the euro as investors rushed to safe-haven assets such as government bonds and gold.
UK Headline Inflation Accelerated Slightly More than Expected - Action Forex
UK headline inflation accelerated slightly more than expected in October, by 0.6% M/M to 2.3% Y/Y. Core CPI remained stronger as well, rising by 0.4% M/M to 3.3% Y/Y (from 3.2%). Services CPI ticked up from 4.9% Y/Y to 5%. Today’s figures add strength to the Bank of England’s “not too many, not too much” rhetoric. Sterling strengthens marginally in a first reaction, from EUR/GBP 0.8350 to 0.8330.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.8446 resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8306 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8259 first, and then 0.8201 key support. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8446 will confirm short term bottoming.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook - Action Forex
EUR/JPY's strong rebound from 161.48 and break of 163.96 minor resistance suggests that pullback from 166.67 has completed. The development also revives near term bullishness. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 166.67 resistance first. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 154.40.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook - Action Forex
EUR/CHF rebounded after breaching 0.9305 support briefly and the development dampened the original bearish view. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. But still, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9444 resistance holds. Below 0.9303 will target a retest on 0.9209 low.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for more consolidations. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8773 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8916 and sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8899 will pave the way back to 0.9223 key resistance.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook - Action Forex
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. Consolidations from 1.4104 should be brief as long as 1.3958 resistance turned support holds. Above 1.4104 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 1.3418 to 1.3958 from 1.3841 at 1.4175. Nevertheless, break of 1.3958 will bring lengthier consolidations, and risk deeper pull back to 1.3841 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3418 to 1.4104 at 1.3842).
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook - Action Forex
GBP/JPY's strong rebound an break of 196.13 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 199.79 has already completed. The development also revive near term bullishness. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 199.79 resistance first. Firm break there will rebound whole rebound from 180.00.
Crypto Market Loses Some Spark - Action Forex
The cryptocurrency market cap is up 0.3% in 24 hours to $ 3.09 trillion. This slight increase masks an impressive altcoin pullback that failed to cap the 1% rise in BTC. However, sentiment indicators remain in extreme greed territory. Solana is down 3% overnight and around 6% from Tuesday’s high. Litecoin has pulled back 14% from Saturday’s high and is a few steps away from $100.
AUD/USD Daily Report - Action Forex
AUD/USD is extending consolidations from 0.6440 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.6687 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 61.8% projection of 0.6941 to 0.6511 from 0.6687 at 0.6421 will resume the fall from 0.6941 to 100% projection at 0.6257 next.
Happy Nvidia Earnings Day - Action Forex
One of the most highly anticipated days of the earnings season, if not the most, the Nvidia earnings day, is finally here. Nvidia is expected to have sold for $33bn of chips last quarter: it is 10% higher than the revenue the company announced last quarter, it is more than 80% of the amount they made during the same time last year and more than five times the amount they used to make before the AI craze began at the beginning of last year.