On Saturday The New York Times published the story that Donald Trump Jr together with Paul Manafort and Jared Kushner met in Trump Tower with a Russian Lawyer. That was basically the entire conten…

Cheap Talk

29.11.2022

Thoughts Left Lying Around | Cheap Talk

One reason time seems to go faster when you are older. “Has it already been a year?” You have so many more things going on and only a few of them can reside in working memory. When some…

Cheap Talk

29.11.2022

Model Up | Cheap Talk

Everyone who has armchair-theorized why movie theaters don’t sell assigned seats in advance is now obligated to explain why this has changed and how that’s consistent with their model. …

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29.11.2022

The Marathon Game | Cheap Talk

A one player extensive-form game with perfect information. The player’s name is Zeno. The game has an infinite horizon. For every non-negative integer N there is a node at which Zeno choose…

Cheap Talk

29.11.2022

The Skinny | Cheap Talk

You are in a negotiation and you are offered X. You really want both X and Y but you have just been given the option to take X now and then continue negotiating for Y. In this story you are the Hou…

Cheap Talk

29.11.2022

Comey, the New York Times, Obama and the Lucas Critique: Ethical Leadership in the Presence of Political Constraints | Cheap Talk

There is a sender and two receivers, L and R. The sender has information, the state of the world, and can also make a decision. There is a socially optimal decision, the ethical decision, which dep…

Cheap Talk

29.11.2022

That Rizzo Bloop | Cheap Talk

In the bottom of the 8th inning of tonight’s game 3 of the NLDS, Anthony Rizzo blooped a single to shallow left and Leonys Martin scored what proved to be the winning run. The noteworthy thi…

Cheap Talk

29.11.2022

What is Boris Johnson’s Strategy? | Cheap Talk

(I am trying to organize my thinking in this post.) Three things to bear in mind (first two are facts and the third is an assumption): It is no longer possible for the Prime Minister to unilaterall…

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29.11.2022

The Long Game | Cheap Talk

Watch for the key leading indicator of impending Presidential downfall: the Vice President going silent. We will reach a point where the VP’s objective switches from defending the President…

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29.11.2022

Comey and Other Skeletons | Cheap Talk

The anticlimax that is/will be the Comey testimony proves something I have always thought about skeletons in the closet. They should be released early when not everyone is paying attention. The pre…

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Cheap Talk - Economy

How Junior Got Played | Cheap Talk

Thoughts Left Lying Around | Cheap Talk

Model Up | Cheap Talk

The Marathon Game | Cheap Talk

The Skinny | Cheap Talk

Comey, the New York Times, Obama and the Lucas Critique: Ethical Leadership in the Presence of Political Constraints | Cheap Talk

That Rizzo Bloop | Cheap Talk

What is Boris Johnson’s Strategy? | Cheap Talk

The Long Game | Cheap Talk

Comey and Other Skeletons | Cheap Talk

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