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Leer en Español Stock market correction: From Wednesday 31 July to Monday 5 August, the S&P 500—the primary U.S. stock index—fell by around 6%. The selloff was driven by a weaker-than-expected July jobs report, which showed a slump in payroll gains and a rise in unemployment. This fed into other warnings signs such as rising
Leer en Español Growth leaders: Our Consensus is for the South Asian economies of Bangladesh and India, plus Mongolia in East Asia, to be among the world’s fastest-growing economies over our forecast horizon to 2028, with expansions above 6% per annum. Favorable demographics, an expanding middle class, burgeoning manufacturing sectors, and—in the case of Mongolia—mining
Leer en Español Since Joe Biden bowed out of the presidential campaign in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris on 22 July, polls have shown a narrowing of the gap in voting intentions between Harris and Donald Trump. However, Trump still has a strong chance of clinching the presidency in the November elections. So what are
Leer en Español In 2024, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE joined the BRICS. As a result, the bloc now makes up nearly a third of the world’s GDP at market prices in USD. To dive deeper into the long-term outlook of the bloc as a whole and of each individual country, you can
Leer en Español The ongoing El Niño weather pattern is set to restrain agricultural output in 2024, as it did last year, despite being less strong than initially feared. In addition, La Niña—the “inverse” of El Niño—has a 55% likelihood of developing in June–August, according to the U.S. weather service, further dampening primary sector production.
Latin America currencies had an eventful 2023. Some, such as Argentina’s peso and Venezuela’s bolívar, crumbled amid hyperinflation and elevated money printing, while others, such as the Mexican and Colombian pesos, strengthened significantly. Our panelists’ forecasts suggest that 2024 will maintain this pattern of extreme divergence between currencies.