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The EU-Mercosur trade deal: What does it mean for global trade and the economic outlook? - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español In early December, the EU and Mercosur—a trading bloc whose members include Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay—reached a trade deal after 25 years of negotiations. With the two blocs making up over 700 million people and about 20% of the world’s GDP, the long-anticipated agreement has the potential to create one
Political turmoil in South Korea: What does it mean for the economic outlook? - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español In early December, South Korea’s president Yoon Suk Yeol made a short-lived declaration of martial law, only to quickly rectify when Parliament voted against it. He now faces impeachment proceedings, and snap presidential elections are a possibility in 2025. Below is a look at the economic implications and our Consensus Forecasts. The
Trump 2.0: How our daily Consensus Forecasts are changing for the Fed, exchange rates and the world economy - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español Our Daily Updates for our Consensus Forecasts have shifted since Trump was re-elected president on 5 November, with our panel of economists already altering its projections for the dollar, U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve decisions. The rest of the world economy has not been immune, with the outlook of those economies intertwined
What could Trump’s election victory mean for Latin America? - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español Tougher trade policy: Trump has floated the idea of a 10.0–20.0% baseline tariff on all imports. If realized, this would thump the more U.S.-dependent Latin American economies—particularly Mexico and Central America. In addition, Trump is likely to attempt to renegotiate the USMCA trade agreement when it comes up for review in 2026.
What's in Store for the Oil and Gas Markets in Q4? - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español Crude prices have whipsawed in recent months, rising and falling by over USD 10 per barrel in just a few weeks. In the gas market, trader activity has been similarly frenetic. In our latest insight piece, we ask our energy economist Matthew Cunningham about the latest trends blowing the oil- and gas-market
Stock markets took a tumble recently: Is there reason to be worried? - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español Stock market correction: From Wednesday 31 July to Monday 5 August, the S&P 500—the primary U.S. stock index—fell by around 6%. The selloff was driven by a weaker-than-expected July jobs report, which showed a slump in payroll gains and a rise in unemployment. This fed into other warnings signs such as rising
East & South Asia: Our analysts’ outlook for the emerging region - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español Growth leaders: Our Consensus is for the South Asian economies of Bangladesh and India, plus Mongolia in East Asia, to be among the world’s fastest-growing economies over our forecast horizon to 2028, with expansions above 6% per annum. Favorable demographics, an expanding middle class, burgeoning manufacturing sectors, and—in the case of Mongolia—mining
What are Trump’s economic plans? - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español Since Joe Biden bowed out of the presidential campaign in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris on 22 July, polls have shown a narrowing of the gap in voting intentions between Harris and Donald Trump. However, Trump still has a strong chance of clinching the presidency in the November elections. So what are
What is the long-term economic outlook for the BRICS? - FocusEconomics
Leer en Español In 2024, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE joined the BRICS. As a result, the bloc now makes up nearly a third of the world’s GDP at market prices in USD. To dive deeper into the long-term outlook of the bloc as a whole and of each individual country, you can