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Weekly Indicators for December 19 - 23 at Seeking Alpha
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-1334397340783350927 2022-12-24T08:23:00.000-06:00 2022-12-24T08:23:00.538-06:00 Weekly Indicators for December 19 - 23 at Seeking Alpha <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p>My Weekly Indicators post is <a href="https://seekingal
Real personal income and spending hold up (thank you, lower gas prices!) but still consistent with onset of recession
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-8350586181733058863 2022-12-23T08:40:00.005-06:00 2022-12-23T08:40:36.140-06:00 Real personal income and spending hold up (thank you, lower gas prices!) but still consistent with onset of recession <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i>
New home sales for November: at last, a bright spot! (relatively speaking)
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-2536350278763984264 2022-12-23T12:04:00.004-06:00 2022-12-23T12:07:15.182-06:00 New home sales for November: at last, a bright spot! (relatively speaking) <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjus
Durable goods orders appear to have peaked
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-3426757256783145517 2022-12-23T08:08:00.004-06:00 2022-12-23T08:09:24.086-06:00 Durable goods orders appear to have peaked <p><i> [Note: I’ll post about personal income and spending, as well as new home sales, later.]</i></p><p><i> - by Ne
Initial claims continue in range; why they will give us a lead on when the Sahm rule for recessions may be triggered
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-1847471511775142532 2022-12-22T07:55:00.004-06:00 2022-12-22T07:55:36.041-06:00 Initial claims continue in range; why they will give us a lead on when the Sahm rule for recessions may be triggered <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i><
November existing home sales: prices have unequivocally turned down
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-6519145450317247567 2022-12-21T09:35:00.006-06:00 2022-12-21T09:37:38.912-06:00 November existing home sales: prices have unequivocally turned down <p> </p><p> <i>- by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyle
November housing permits and starts: the biggest news is not in the headlines
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-3012469268472300553 2022-12-20T10:27:00.007-06:00 2022-12-20T10:27:49.124-06:00 November housing permits and starts: the biggest news is not in the headlines <p> </p><p> -<i> by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="-webkit-text-size-ad
Job growth beginning in Q2 looks to be substantially revised downward
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-3404719845650330103 2022-12-19T10:20:00.004-06:00 2022-12-19T10:20:38.633-06:00 Job growth beginning in Q2 looks to be substantially revised downward <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: au
Weekly Indicators for December 12 - 16 at Seeking Alpha
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-4352910782393262168 2022-12-17T07:38:00.000-06:00 2022-12-17T07:38:00.684-06:00 Weekly Indicators for December 12 - 16 at Seeking Alpha <p> </p><p> <i>- by New Deal democrat</i></p><p>My Weekly Indicators post is <a href="https://seekingal
The status of the coincident indicators
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-4487117572481839113 2022-12-16T08:50:00.004-06:00 2022-12-16T08:50:48.453-06:00 The status of the coincident indicators <p><br /></p><p> - <i>by New Deal democrat</i></p><span style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBody; font-size: 17px;">In
Jobless claims: still weakly positive
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-8768023701785118821 2022-12-15T07:59:00.006-06:00 2022-12-15T07:59:53.856-06:00 Jobless claims: still weakly positive <p> </p><div style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBody; font-size: 17px;"><i>- by New Deal democrat</i></div><div style="f
November Industrial production: has the King of Coincident Indicators peaked?
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-5222813451326852593 2022-12-15T08:43:00.008-06:00 2022-12-15T08:43:46.094-06:00 November Industrial production: has the King of Coincident Indicators peaked? <p><br /></p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFon
November real retail sales turn down, return to negative YoY
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-4175637700636441101 2022-12-15T10:07:00.004-06:00 2022-12-15T10:09:24.465-06:00 November real retail sales turn down, return to negative YoY <p> </p><div dir="ltr" style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBody; font-size: 17px;"> -<i> by New D
November CPI: Thank you, gas prices! No thank you, owners’ equivalent rent
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-1432836972337306462 2022-12-13T08:46:00.007-06:00 2022-12-13T08:46:47.134-06:00 November CPI: Thank you, gas prices! No thank you, owners’ equivalent rent <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjus
Real average and aggregate non-managerial wages for November
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-7459863433112930393 2022-12-14T08:00:00.003-06:00 2022-12-14T08:00:18.481-06:00 Real average and aggregate non-managerial wages for November <p> </p><p><span style="color: #333333; font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBody;"><span style="-webkit-t
November producer prices: YoY measures mask recent sharp deceleration to mainly tolerable levels
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-5652032852996916268 2022-12-09T08:30:00.006-06:00 2022-12-09T08:30:50.624-06:00 November producer prices: YoY measures mask recent sharp deceleration to mainly tolerable levels <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="f
Jobless claims: troublesome trend continues, but no yellow flag yet
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-7814048189755790648 2022-12-08T08:08:00.000-06:00 2022-12-08T08:08:04.380-06:00 Jobless claims: troublesome trend continues, but no yellow flag yet <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><div style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTall
Weekly Indicators for December 5 - 9 at Seeking Alpha
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-8372965940574605313 2022-12-11T08:11:00.003-06:00 2022-12-11T08:11:50.179-06:00 Weekly Indicators for December 5 - 9 at Seeking Alpha <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p>My Weekly Indicators post is <a href="https://seekingalph
A brief overview of the current state of the economy
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-4585473009327484996 2022-12-12T08:21:00.005-06:00 2022-12-12T08:21:40.614-06:00 A brief overview of the current state of the economy <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBody; font-
Coronavirus dashboard for December 7: the first winter wave of endemicity begins
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-7781593732245723740 2022-12-07T08:07:00.001-06:00 2022-12-07T08:07:18.668-06:00 Coronavirus dashboard for December 7: the first winter wave of endemicity begins <p> </p><p> <i>- by New Deal democrat</i></p><div dir="ltr" style="-webkit-tex
Scenes from the November employment report: the short leading jobs indicators
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-4753562219197209792 2022-12-06T07:36:00.000-06:00 2022-12-06T07:36:28.674-06:00 Scenes from the November employment report: the short leading jobs indicators <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFon
New factory orders remain an economic bright spot
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-8252627156373192563 2022-12-05T10:23:00.004-06:00 2022-12-05T10:23:20.827-06:00 New factory orders remain an economic bright spot <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBody; font-siz
Weekly Indicators for November 28 - December 2 at Seeking Alpha
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-2943499358437673136 2022-12-03T11:13:00.003-06:00 2022-12-03T11:13:49.493-06:00 Weekly Indicators for November 28 - December 2 at Seeking Alpha <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p>My Weekly Indicators post is <a href="https://s
November jobs report: decidedly mixed signals, most consistent with a still-growing but decidedly weakening economy
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-4796208415114722375 2022-12-02T08:18:00.004-06:00 2022-12-02T08:19:17.709-06:00 November jobs report: decidedly mixed signals, most consistent with a still-growing but decidedly weakening economy <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></
Strong personal income and spending contrast with near record low in saving
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-7619507786877052940 2022-12-01T08:32:00.005-06:00 2022-12-01T08:33:47.153-06:00 Strong personal income and spending contrast with near record low in saving <p> </p><p> -<i> by New Deal democrat</i></p><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:
October JOLTS report shows continued deceleration in jobs market, with continuing gap in job openings filled
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-4510498149900156723 2022-11-30T10:08:00.000-06:00 2022-11-30T10:08:21.994-06:00 October JOLTS report shows continued deceleration in jobs market, with continuing gap in job openings filled <p> </p><p> <i>- by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><s
Initial jobless claims get closer to signaling recession
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-6978192919125633314 2022-12-01T07:58:00.001-06:00 2022-12-01T07:59:03.732-06:00 Initial jobless claims get closer to signaling recession <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBody; f
November manufacturing and October construction both decline, the former almost at recessionary levels
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-3215183823174384005 2022-12-01T11:01:00.001-06:00 2022-12-01T11:01:01.219-06:00 November manufacturing and October construction both decline, the former almost at recessionary levels <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span st
The Fed appears determined to cause a Volcker-like recession
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-2218918081863034740 2022-11-03T12:15:00.004-05:00 2022-11-03T12:15:50.761-05:00 The Fed appears determined to cause a Volcker-like recession <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBod
Scenes from the October jobs report: deceleration and deterioration, but no downturn signaled
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-3540969401689438832 2022-11-07T08:32:00.000-06:00 2022-11-07T08:32:01.486-06:00 Scenes from the October jobs report: deceleration and deterioration, but no downturn signaled <p> </p><p> -<i> by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font
Jobless claims: still holding steady
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-2916471145602727305 2022-11-10T07:40:00.003-06:00 2022-11-10T07:40:52.712-06:00 Jobless claims: still holding steady <p> </p><p> <i>- by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTallBody; font-size: 17px;">In
Real average hourly wages and real aggregate payrolls for October
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-8977731834392956861 2022-11-11T08:00:00.002-06:00 2022-11-11T08:11:20.645-06:00 Real average hourly wages and real aggregate payrolls for October <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFontTextStyleTa
Coronavirus dashboard for November 8: the new alphabet soup of variants fails to generate a new wave (so far)
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-5617481926561733672 2022-11-08T09:22:00.006-06:00 2022-11-08T09:24:04.733-06:00 Coronavirus dashboard for November 8: the new alphabet soup of variants fails to generate a new wave (so far) <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><div
Weekly Indicators for November 7 - 11 at Seeking Alpha
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-8241486363842202182 2022-11-12T08:00:00.003-06:00 2022-11-12T08:00:33.207-06:00 Weekly Indicators for November 7 - 11 at Seeking Alpha <p> </p><p> -<i> by New Deal democrat</i></p><p>My Weekly Indicators post is <a href="https://seekingalp
October CPI report: total inflation increasing at 3.5% annual rate, core inflation minus shelter increasing at 2.8% annual rate in the past 4 months
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-7012511333245238911 2022-11-10T08:38:00.001-06:00 2022-11-10T08:38:56.017-06:00 October CPI report: total inflation increasing at 3.5% annual rate, core inflation minus shelter increasing at 2.8% annual rate in the past 4 months <p> </p><p><i>&
October retail sales: consumers: “We’re not dead yet!”
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-2683299133907076884 2022-11-16T08:04:00.006-06:00 2022-11-16T08:04:48.322-06:00 October retail sales: consumers: “We’re not dead yet!” <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto;">Retail sal
Some Big Picture comments on the 2022 midterm elections
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-5843414646452133702 2022-11-09T07:54:00.006-06:00 2022-11-09T07:56:28.581-06:00 Some Big Picture comments on the 2022 midterm elections <p> </p><p> <i>- by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto;">No econom
October jobs report: late cycle deceleration and deterioration
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-3964286315543130447 2022-11-04T08:13:00.006-05:00 2022-11-04T08:15:41.546-05:00 October jobs report: late cycle deceleration and deterioration <p> </p><p> <i>- by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; bac
October producer prices: more evidence that supply chain pressures have eased
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-2825504524231478496 2022-11-15T10:29:00.004-06:00 2022-11-15T10:34:01.288-06:00 October producer prices: more evidence that supply chain pressures have eased <p> </p><p> <i>- by New Deal democrat</i></p><p><span style="font-family: UICTFon
Weekly Indicators for October 31 - November 4 at Seeking Alpha
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2301429786427499687.post-8728011882188690402 2022-11-05T08:39:00.002-05:00 2022-11-05T08:39:35.031-05:00 Weekly Indicators for October 31 - November 4 at Seeking Alpha <p> </p><p><i> - by New Deal democrat</i></p><p>My Weekly Indicators post is <a href="https://se