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US/China Talks FalteringGold prices are starting to push higher again this week as uncertainty returns to the market over the breakdown in US/China trade negotiations. Following an absence of news over much of May, comments from the US treasury secretary
Palladium Futures (PA1!) H4 | Heading into an Overlap ResistanceType:Bearish Reversal Key Levels:Resistance: 1,023.00Pivot: 995.00Support: 947.00Preferred Case:Looking at the H4 chart, the price could rise toward the pivot and potentially make a
Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) H4 | Rising into a Multi-swing-high ResistanceType:Bearish ReversalKey Levels:Resistance: 64.40Pivot: 63.27Support: 61.30Preferred Case:Looking at the H4 chart, the price could rise toward the pivot and potentially make a bearish
Stuck In The MiddleFollowing a significant climb tied to the US-China trade deal, equity positioning has largely plateaued and remains moderately underweight (z-score: -0.45, 23rd percentile). Discretionary investor positioning is near neutral, sitting in
Nasdaq-100 Futures (NQ1!) H4 I Falling toward an Overlap SupportType:Bullish BounceKey Levels:Resistance: 21,833.50Pivot: 20,906.50Support: 20,226.00Preferred Case:Looking at the H4 chart, the price could fall toward the pivot and potentially rally toward
Yen RisesDespite a generally stronger US Dollar on Friday, JPY is giving the greenback a run for its money following strong Japanese inflation data overnight. Tokyo core CPI was seen rising to 3.6% from 3.4% prior, above the 3.5% the market was looking
Copper Reverses LowerCopper bulls look to have been left empty handed this week with the futures market currently trading back around the weekly open following a reversal lower from earlier highs. News of the US federal court ruling against Trump’s
Palladium Futures (PA1!) D1 | Potential Bearish Reversal Type:Bearish Reversal Key Levels:Resistance: 1,052.5Pivot: 992.5Support: 929.5Preferred Case:Looking at the D1, Price showing rejection at recent highs and could fall from current levels
GS FX Morning Notes: Was It All a Bad Dream? Not Quite.Research | Economics | JUST NOWTariff Court Ruling: The recent ruling by the Court of International Trade to block the majority of tariff hikes is significant for FX markets in three key ways: 1.
S&P 500 Futures (ES1!) H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Type:Bearish DropKey Levels:Resistance: 6,107.5Pivot: 5,917.75Support: 5,731.75Preferred Case:Looking at the H4 chart, if price fails to hold above the pivot, we could see a bearish move toward the
Bitcoin Turning LowerFollowing a breakout move to fresh all-time highs last week, Bitcoin prices have drifted lower this week with BTC futures down around 6% from those highs. Across that push to new highs Bitcoin trading saw record volume with the market
S&P 500 Futures (ES1!) D1 | Bearish Reversal Off the 127.2% FiboType:Bearish ReversalKey Levels:Resistance: 6,170.00Pivot: 6,068.25Support: 5,923.25Preferred Case:Looking at the D1 chart, the price could rise toward the pivot and potentially make a
Palladium Futures (PA1!) D1 | Potential Bearish Reversal Type:Bearish Reversal Key Levels:Resistance: 1,048.5Pivot: 981.0Support: 931.0Preferred Case:Looking at the D1 chart, the price could rise toward the pivot and potentially make a bearish
The Strategic Case for Gold and Oil in Long-Run PortfoliosFollowing the recent failure of US bonds to protect against equity downside and the rapid rise in US borrowing costs, investors seek protection for equity-bond portfolios. We reach two conclusions
USD SlidingThe US Dollar has come back under pressure today, reversing lower after a spike higher yesterday in response to news that a federal court ruled against Trump’s trade tariffs. Judges at the Court of International Trade ruled that
Gasoline Futures (RB1!) D1 I Falling toward an Overlap SupportType:Bearish ReversalKey Levels:Resistance: 2.1897Pivot: 2.0902Support: 2.0084Preferred Case:Looking at the H4 chart, the price could fall toward the Pivot and potentially stabilize around this
Silver Futures (SL1!) H4 I Falling toward an Overlap SupportType:Bearish ReversalKey Levels:Resistance: 33.91Pivot: 33.46Support: 32.79Preferred Case:Looking at the H4 chart, the price could fall toward the Pivot and potentially stabilize around this
US Equity Positioning and Key LevelsFICC and Equities27 May 2025 | Consolidated Recap of GS Positioning MetricsSummary:CTA Corner:CTAs are predominantly sellers across most markets outside the US. Buy estimates for the next week and month remain
Our FX month-end rebalancing model indicates that portfolio-rebalancing flows are likely to result in moderate USD selling across the board, with the strongest sell signal observed for USD against EUR. Meanwhile, our corporate flow model suggests