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Recession A recession is a period of reduced economic activity. It is typically defined as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, as measured by a country's gross domestic product (GDP). A recession is typically accompanied by a drop in the stock market, an increase in unemployment, and a decline in consumer spending. While recessions can be difficult for individuals and businesses, they are a normal part of the business cycle and are often followed by periods of economic growth.
In this episode we have a fascinating discussion with Mike Green of Simplify about the ongoing impact of passive investing on markets. Mike shares insights from recent academic research supporting his thesis and discusses how the risks of passive may play out over time. We also explore potential risks from increased options usage and the short volatility trade. In the second half, we turn to the economy. Mike provides his views on inflation, recession risks,… Read More
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe gained 3.00 points, or 0.36%, to 831.73 World stock indexes mostly gained and the U.S. dollar rose against the yen on Tuesday after solid U.S. retail sales figures was taken as supporting prospects the Fed will lower rates to rein in inflation while aiming to avoid a recession.
The environment is good. Earnings growth this quarter will be probably around 10% and for the next few quarters it will also be in that range and rates are going to come down. And barring a recession, which I do not think is going to happen, the stock market should not fall too much.