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- CNBC Deflation is a decrease in the general price level of goods and services. It is the opposite of inflation, which is an increase in the general price level. Deflation occurs when the inflation rate falls below 0 percent. The most extreme form of deflation is a prolonged period of falling prices, called a deflationary spiral. This occurs when the deflationary forces become so strong that they cause a continuing fall in prices, leading to a decrease in demand, which leads to even lower prices and so on. This can be very damaging to an economy, as it reduces economic activity, leading to job losses and even a recession. Deflation can be caused by a decrease in the money supply, a decrease in government spending, or a decrease in aggregate demand. The most famous example of deflation was the Great Depression of the 1930s.
In May 2025, Thailand experienced a year-on-year decrease in consumer prices by 0.57%, marking the second consecutive month of deflation. This decline follows a 0.22% reduction in April and was slightly less than the anticipated market forecast of a 0.83% decrease. The deflationary trend was observed across most sub-indexes, including housing and furnishings, which fell to -0.30% from -0.67% in April; medical and personal care, which dropped to -1.05% from -0.72%; transport, which decreased further to -3.38% from -2.97%; clothing and footwear, which declined to -0.91% from -0.56%; and other non-food and beverage categories, which fell to -1.51% from -1.45%. Conversely, the inflation rate for food and non-alcoholic beverages decreased to 0.89%, marking its lowest point in 11 months and down from 1.63% in April. On a monthly basis, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) experienced a rise of 0.26%, bouncing back from a 0.21% decline in the preceding period. Furthermore, annual core inflation increased to 1.09% from the previous 0.98%, failing to meet the market's expectation of a slight decrease to 0.95%. This represents the highest core inflation rate since June 2023.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
China's producer price deflation worsened in May, hitting a near two-year low, while consumer prices continued to decline amid trade tensions and a housing slump. Uncertainties from the U.S. tariff war and weak domestic consumption have fueled expectations of further policy stimulus. Cooling factory activity and cautious household spending are impacting the economy.
In early June, steel rebar futures slipped below CNY 3,000 per tonne, maintaining levels near their lowest point since September 2024. This decline can be attributed to underwhelming economic data from China, the dominant consumer, casting a shadow over demand expectations. China's export growth for May fell short of predictions, largely due to a significant reduction in exports to the United States amid ongoing trade tensions. Additionally, imports contracted beyond forecasts, indicating continued weak domestic demand. Consumer prices witnessed a decline for the fourth consecutive month, with producer deflation nearing a two-year low, highlighting the country's subdued economic pace. Despite US and Chinese officials resuming trade discussions in London today, market sentiment remains guarded. Furthermore, global steel markets faced added stress last week after President Donald Trump signed an executive order elevating US steel tariffs to 50%. This policy move increased domestic US steel prices but exerted downward pressure on international markets, particularly affecting China.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
Iron ore futures dropped to approximately CNY 705 on Monday, remaining close to an eight-month low. This decline is attributed to disappointing economic figures from China, which have negatively impacted the demand forecast for this essential steelmaking component. In May, China's export growth did not meet expectations, largely due to a significant reduction in shipments to the United States amid persistent trade tensions. Concurrently, imports decreased more than anticipated, signifying weak domestic demand. Further exacerbating the situation, consumer prices in China saw their fourth consecutive monthly decline, and producer price deflation reached its lowest point in almost two years. Although trade discussions between officials from Beijing and Washington are scheduled to resume in London today, optimism for a significant resolution remains tempered. However, there are tentative signs of improved relations, as evidenced by China reportedly granting temporary licenses for rare earth exports, and US-based Boeing resuming the delivery of commercial jets to China.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
Chinas deflation pressures are shifting consumer habits, with luxury buyers like Mandy Li opting for heavily discounted second-hand goods amid wage cuts and property losses. The booming resale market faces intense competition and deep discounts, reflecting wider economic struggles and rising concerns about sustained deflation and business closures.
BEIJING (Reuters) -China's export growth slowed to a three-month low in May as U.S. tariffs slammed shipments, while factory-gate deflation deepened to its worst level in two years, heaping pressure on the world's second-largest economy on both the domestic and external fronts. U.S. President Donald Trump's global trade war and the swings in Sino-U.S. trade ties have in the past two months sent Chinese exporters, along with their business partners across the Pacific, on a roller coaster ride and hobbled world growth. Underscoring the U.S. tariff impact on shipments, customs data showed that China's exports to the U.S. plunged 34.5% year-on-year in May in value terms, the sharpest drop since February 2020, when the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic upended global trade.
The consumer confidence index from the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce fell to 54.2 in May 2025, a decrease from 55.4 in April. This represents the fourth consecutive month of decline, reaching the lowest level since March 2023. The decline underscores the fragile nature of the economic recovery and growing concerns about potential US tariffs. Thailand is at risk of facing a 36% tariff from the United States if no agreement is achieved before the moratorium deadline on July 8. The Ministry of Finance recently revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast down to 2.1% from a previous estimate of 3.0%, attributing the change to US trade measures and a broader global economic slowdown. In 2024, Thailand’s economy experienced a growth of 2.5%, which fell slightly short of the 2.6% official target. Additionally, consumer prices decreased by 0.57% year-on-year in May, marking the second month in a row of deflation and further deviating from the Bank of Thailand’s target inflation range of 1% to 3%.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com