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Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

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Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

16.11.2024

UK GDP Growth Disappoints as September Shrinks | Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

This morning has brought some disappointing economic news for the UK. The relatively strong economic growth seen in the first half of 2024 has faded to this. UK gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have increased by 0.1% in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2024, following growth of 0.5% in Quarter 2 (Apr to…

Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

19.11.2024

The ECB plans to double down on the policies which have stagnated the Euro area economy | Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

Today sees quite a raft of speakers from the ECB and we have seen two already this morning as they rush to pit their point of view forwards. They can in one sense be positive after this was released last week. In the third quarter of 2024, seasonally adjusted GDP increased by 0.4% in the euro…

Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

20.11.2024

Japan is seeing labour shortages as its population shrinks but still real wages have fallen | Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

This morning has brought an intriguing development in Japan as we have seen the Japanese Yen rally very sharply from 154.60 to 153.60. The move was like there had been some intervention if we look at the speed and size of it. I doubt that there was explicit intervention but perhaps bodies close to the…

Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

21.11.2024

The rise in UK inflation is uncomfortable for a government which plans to raise it further | Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

This morning has brought some predictable but none the less disappointing news for the UK on the inflation front. Let us start our analysis with the measure that the Bank of England targets. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 2.3% in the 12 months to October 2024, up from 1.7% in September. On a…

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