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Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

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Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

18.12.2024

UK Real Wages are regaining some of the losses from the cost of living crisis | Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

This morning has brought us up to date on the latest official UK labour market figures and there is one component at least sending a seasonal message. Annual growth in employees’ average earnings for both regular (excluding bonuses) and total earnings (including bonuses) in Great Britain was 5.2% in August to October 2024. That is…

Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

19.12.2024

The prospects for UK inflation will give the Bank of England food for thought when it votes on interest-rates later today | Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

This morning has brought some disappointing news for the UK on the inflation front. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 2.6% in the 12 months to November 2024, up from 2.3% in the 12 months to October. We can start with the Bank of England which targets this measure and will be voting on…

Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

20.12.2024

The path for interest-rates in 2025 was raised quite a bit by the Federal Reserve last night | Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

Last night or evening if you prefer saw rather a change in expected policy from the US Federal Reserve and it immediately echoed around financial markets. Indian rupee falls to a record low of 85 per US dollar ( @business) Brazilian Real plunges to its weakest level against the U.S. Dollar in history. ( @barchart)…

Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

21.12.2024

The trajectory for the UK Public Finances is a cause for concern | Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

This morning has brought us up to date on an area that is an increasing concern for the UK which is the level of public-sector borrowing. This is on several levels. Firstly we had all the Covid era borrowing which at the time was juiced by the Bank of England as it drove UK bond…

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